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Reiterating that "stabilizing the property market" releases a stronger signal, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. In terms of real estate, the meeting called for "stabilizing the property market" and "continuously pushing the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize". Experts said that the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held in September first mentioned "promoting the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize", the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held in December made it clear that "stabilizing the property market", and the Central Economic Work Conference reiterated "stabilizing the property market" and emphasized "continuously pushing the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize", which reflected the firm attitude of promoting the real estate market. It is expected that the policy of "stabilizing the property market" in the next stage will continue to exert efforts, do a good job and promote new and greater results. (CSI)There is still a worry about the imbalance between supply and demand. There is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed up 0.18%, NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed up 0.18%, popular Chinese stocks were mixed, Tencent Music rose over 2%, and Pinduoduo and Baidu rose over 1%. In terms of decline, iQiyi and Youdao fell more than 2%, and Weilai fell more than 1%.

The international crude oil settlement price fell slightly. As of the close of the 12th, the light crude oil futures price for January delivery in the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by 27 cents to close at 70.02 US dollars per barrel, a decrease of 0.38%. London Brent crude oil futures for February delivery in 2025 fell 11 cents to close at $73.41 a barrel, a decrease of 0.15%.BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.The dollar index DXY broke through 107 and rose by 0.33% in the day.

Uruguay's GDP in the third quarter increased by 4.1% year on year.Chicago corn futures fell by 1%, while wheat, soybean meal and soybean oil fell by 0.8% at most. In late new york on Thursday (December 12), the Bloomberg Grain Sub-index fell by 0.63% to 31.7965 points. CBOT corn futures fell 1.00% to 4.43-3/4 USD/bushel. CBOT wheat futures fell 0.80% to $ 5.58-3/4 a bushel. CBOT soybean futures were roughly flat at $ 10.02-1/2 per bushel, while soybean meal futures fell by 0.70% and soybean oil futures fell by 0.50%.Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to be strengthened. Next year, we will emphasize the "combination boxing". In 2025, China will "implement a more active and promising macro policy". According to the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, as two important pillars in the macroeconomic governance system, fiscal policy will be "more active" than before, maintaining policy continuity and releasing the determination to overweight policies; Monetary policy will turn to "moderate easing" and continue to adhere to the position of supportive monetary policy. "Precious policy tools should be used at critical stages." Insiders say that in the stage of insufficient effective credit demand and weak market expectations, boost market confidence; At the stage of accelerating the issuance of government bonds, supporting a more active fiscal policy is effective and laying a good policy "combination boxing". (Securities Times)